Nuclear´s Great Expectations: Projections Continue to Rise for Nuclear Power, but Relative Generation Share Declines

Nuclear´s Great Expectations: Projections Continue to Rise for Nuclear Power, but Relative Generation Share Declines
Source: International Atomic Energy Agency

he IAEA has revised upwards its nuclear power generation projections to 2030, while at the same time it reported that nuclear´s share of global electricity generation dropped another percentage point in 2007 to 14%. This compares to the nearly steady share of 16% to 17% that nuclear power maintained for almost two decades, from 1986 through 2005.

In its 2008 edition of Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period to 2030, the IAEA expects global nuclear power capacity in 2030 to range from a low case scenario of 473GW(e), some 27% higher than today´s 372 GW(e), to a high case scenario of 748 GW(e), i.e., double today´s capacity.

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